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COVID-19 crisis: Several cities achieve peak, downward trajectory noticed in seven-day data: Experts urge to follow guidelines




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Amidst rising cases of Covid-19 in the country, the seven-day data shows some positive signs as the number of new cases is decreasing in many cities. According to the data shared by Professor Maninder Agrawal on Twitter based on SUTRA, an approach to modelling pandemics with asymptomatic patients, and applications to covid-19, Maharashtra’s Mumbai, Pune and Uttar Pradesh’s Lucknow, Prayagraj, Kanpur, and Varanasi have peaked.

Though cases are expected to rise in some cities in Bihar and other states, there is a chance that the coming days will show more cities recovering from the deadly disease.

Cities that show downward trajectory after peak

According the Prof Agrawal, Mumbai is among the top cities showing downward trajectory after touching the peak.

The city started reporting less than 5,000 cases on April 26 and now it has been consistently reporting under 4,000 cases for last three days.

Graph of Covid-19 cases in Mumbai for last 30 days (Source:

Thane is another city in Maharashtra that is showing a drop in the number of Covid cases. Prog Agrawal said that initially it was on the parallel trajectory but later the new cases start to drop significantly.

Data shows that Thane has been reporting under 4,200 cases from last three days.

Graph of Covid-19 cases in Thane for last 30 days (Source:

Ahmedabad, Gujarat might also have peaked before the expected case load as it is showing a consistant downward tranjactory.

Data shows that the city has consistently reporting a downfall in the number of new cases reported per day. The number of active cases has also dropped significantly.

Graph of Covid-19 cases in Ahmedabad for last 30 days (Source:

Surat is also showing promising numbers as there is a consistant downfall in the number of cases.

Data shows that the city is reporting less than 2,500 cases since April 25.

Graph of Covid-19 cases in Surat for last 30 days (Source:

Uttar Pradesh, which is one of the most affected states during the second wave of Covid-19 is also showing some promising numbers. Starting with Lucknow, Prof Agarwal said that it is ‘taking a leisurely way down after peaking.”

Data shows that the city started reporting less than 5,000 cases on April 26 and it is reporting less than 4,000 cases for the last three days.

Graph of Covid-19 cases in Lucknow for last 30 days (Source:

Prayagraj has taken a similar path as it has been reporting less than 1,500 cases for last four days.

Varanasi is following the footsteps of Prayagraj and is reporting less than 2,000 cases since April 26.

Chattisgarh’s Raipur has been reporting under 2,000 cases since April 26. However, the situation is not going smooth for other cities in Chattisgarh.

Cities that are close to hitting the peak

According to Prof Agrawal, the cities that are close to hitting the peak Bengaluru (Karnataka), Kolkata (West Bengal), Chennai (Tamil Nadu), and Khorda (Odisha).

Cities that are at peak and going parallel

There are some cities that have touched the peak but they are yet to experience a downward trajectory. These cities are Patna (Bihar), Kanpur (Uttar Pradesh), Indore (Madhya Pradesh), Bhopal (Madhya Pradesh), Nagpur (Maharashtra), and Pune (Maharashtra).

Cities that have peaked now and gone up

Unfortunately, some cities have gone upwards after touching the projected peak. These cities include Noida (Uttar Pradesh), Kobra (Chattisgarh) and Ranchi (Chattisgarh).

Covid-19 situation in India

According to the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, India has so far reported 1,99,35,471 Covid-19 cases. There are 34,18,859 active cases in the country. A total of 1,62,88,989 have been cured and discharged. So far 2,19,017 people have lost their lives to Covid-19 related complications. 15,71,98,207 doses of Covid-19 vaccines have been administered in India till May 2. 12,83,74,277 have got first dose of the vaccine while 2,88,23,930 have got both the doses of the Covid-19 vaccine.

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MP Plans Affordable Liquor Policy, 90ml Country Liquor Packs to Help the Poor, Stop Hooch Tragedies



The Madhya Pradesh government’s excise policy for 2021-22 aims to package country liquor in 90 millilitre bottles so that it becomes affordable to the poor who may skip costlier 180ml bottles and opt for cheaper and possibly spurious liquor, officials said on Saturday. The move to have country liquor in smaller bottles comes after 38 people died drinking illicit liquor in Ujjain and Morena in October and January, they added.

The policy, cleared by the Shivraj Singh Chouhan government in its cabinet meeting on Friday, however, has put on hold plans to sell liquor online, unlike neighbouring Chhattisgarh which recently became the 12th state where people can purchase alcohol in this mode. “As per the new policy, liquor companies must pack 10 per cent of their production in 90ml bottles. Country liquor used to come in 180 ml packs, which some of the poor consumers may not have been able to afford and there was the risk of them turning towards cheaper and possibly spurious liquor,” an official explained.

“The 90 ml bottle may be more affordable as it will come at half the price of a quarter,” he added. The new excise policy will come into effect from June 1 and will be in force for just 10 months, the months of April and May having been “dry ones” due to the corona curfew in place, officials pointed out.

Under the new policy, licence fee of outlets has been hiked by 10 per cent to tide over excise losses brought about by the coronavirus-induced restrictions, they added. “The closure of liquor outlets has affected business by some Rs 32 crore daily,” MP Excise Commissioner Rajeev Dubey told PTI.

Corona curfew is in force in MP since April 20.

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All India Parisangh shares image from 2008 to target Modi govt



On Saturday (May 15), Dalit organisation All India Parisangh (AIP) sparked controversy by taking potshots at the Modi government using a 13-year-old image. The organisation was founded by Dalit activist and Congress leader Udit Raj.

In a tweet, AIP wrote, “Unke ‘Mann ki baat’ kyu sunna, jab Ganga pe terti lasho par bhi khamosh raha.” It loosely translates as “Why should we listen to PM Modi’s monthly radio programme ‘Mann ki Baat’ when he is silent on dead bodies floating in the river Ganga?”. The Dalit organisation shared a picture of a dog mauling a human skeleton, along the banks of a water body. At the time of writing, the image was retweeted 167 times and had 463 likes.

Screengrab of the post by the All India Parisangh

By posting the image, the organisation tried to insinuate that it is a recent image showing the mortal remains of a Covid-19 victim whose last rites were not performed. Reports of bodies of Covid victims floating on Ganga river have emerged in the last few days, and All India Parisangh tried to say the image also shows such an incident.

What is the Truth?

It may be noted that the image posted by All India Parisangh has the watermark of Alarmy on it, an stock image platform. Popular Twitter user ‘Befitting Facts’ pointed out that the stock image from Alarmy dates back to February 20, 2008. The disturbing picture was taken by one Dinodia Photos RM and captioned, “Dog eating dead man on Varanasi ghat, Uttar Pradesh in India.” Given the picture dates back to 2008, it must be remembered that the BJP did not have its government at the Centre nor at the State level. And as such, the unfortunate incident is not the result of PM Modi’s negligence.

Screengrab of the image via Alarmy

Earlier, close to 100 unidentified and decomposed bodies were found floating in the Ganga, sparking fear among the locals in several districts of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. While 71 bodies were recovered from Bihar’s Buxar district, other 25 bodies were fished from Uttar Pradesh’s Ghazipur district with locals suspecting them to be the bodies of Covid victims.

After Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, in a horrifying video, at least half a dozen corpses were seen floating in the Runj river in the Panna district of Madhya Pradesh. Buxar police suspected the bodies might have floated from the neighbouring Ghazipur district of Uttar Pradesh. Authorities of both the districts were yet to confirm if the bodies were of Covid victims. As such, All India Parisangh seized the opportunity and shared a 13-year-old picture to blame the Modi government.

All India Parisangh compared Brahmins to pigs last year

Besides fake news, the Dalit organisation has been at the forefront of peddling Anti-Hindu hatred. It has time and again resorted to such vile derogatory casteist hurls targeting Brahmins, and resorted to the anti-Brahmin propaganda by posting an image of a pig wearing ‘Janeu’ – the sacred thread in July last year.

By openly propagating anti-Brahmin sentiments and comparing Brahmins to ‘pigs’, the Parisangh claimed that the Indian judiciary is only comprised of Brahmins. Expressing its contempt for the country’s judiciary, the Dalit organisation claimed that ‘Brahmin’ judges in the Indian courts only recommended fellow people from the community, who were then selected as judges by the third set of Brahmins. The derogatory comments were not only directed at the Brahmins of the country but also an attack on the independence of the judiciary.

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Govt, Admin, Public – All Dropped Guard After First Covid-19 Wave: RSS Chief Mohan Bhagwat



File photo of RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat.

File photo of RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat.

Bhagwat said the country should stay united and work as a team in these testing times, instead of pointing fingers at each other.

  • PTI New Delhi
  • Last Updated:May 15, 2021, 19:21 IST

After the first wave of COVID-19, the government, administration and public dropped their guard which led to the current situation, RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat said on Saturday and urged people to stay positive and proactive to fight the pandemic. Addressing a lecture series Positivity Unlimited’, Bhagwat said the country should stay united and work as a team in these testing times, instead of pointing fingers at each other.

“We are facing this situation because, whether it was the government, administration or public, everyone dropped their guard after the first wave despite indications from doctors, he said. Bhagwat said there is talk of a third wave. But, we will not be scared. We shall stand like a rock.

We have to stay positive and take precautions to keep ourselves COVID negative in the present situation, he said. The RSS chief said that this is not an appropriate time to point fingers and all should avoid making irrational remarks.

Citing England’s situation in World War II when everything seemed going against it, Bhagwat said a quote was written on the then prime minister Winston Churchill’s desk which read, “There is no pessimism in this office. We are not interested in the possibilities of defeat. They don’t exist”. Similarly, he said, in this situation we can’t give up on courage. We need to also have steely resolve.

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